Portfolio: V4 | Cautious Fund Surfing | 3x with V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | No K-1 | BIL
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily rules-based strategy that shifts between aggressive U.S. stock funds, Treasury bonds, and cash-like Treasury funds based on market calm, stress, and sharp short-term selloffs.
This strategy is a market “traffic light.” Each day, it checks whether the U.S. stock market looks calm or shaky using several short-term tests.
If conditions look good, it buys stock funds—mainly a boosted S&P 500 fund and a technology fund, sometimes with Treasury bonds for balance.
If markets look stressed, it either buys a sharp dip in stocks or moves to very safe short-term Treasury funds.
Adaptive, rules-based strategy that outperforms the S&P 500 on out-of-sample returns: 22.37% annualized vs 21.22%. Diversified across 15 timing sleeves with solid risk controls (Calmar ~0.84); note higher max drawdown (~26.5% vs 18.8%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.78 | 0.53 | 0.73 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 179% | 17.43% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 1.04 | |
| 430.46% | 29.87% | -1.8% | 1.43% | 1.54 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$53,045.99Regulatory Fees
$110.24
Total Slippage
$678.98
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 1, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged equity, dip buying, risk management, treasury hedge, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IYW
iShares U.S. Technology ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SGOV
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPUU
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
TYD
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks