Portfolio: V1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | No K-1 | BIL
Today’s Change (Nov 7, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily strategy that flips between aggressive growth and defensive cash-like holdings: in healthy markets it owns leveraged stocks plus bonds, and in troubled markets it mostly waits for sharp selloffs to buy short-term rebounds.
This strategy asks one big question each day: “Does the market look healthy or stressed?”
If the broad U.S. stock market has been in a meaningful slump over the past year, it switches to defense. In that mode, it mostly sits in BIL, a very short-term Treasury fund that behaves like cash. But if the Nasdaq 100 or S&P 500 has fallen more than 5% in 5 days, it may briefly buy a leveraged “bounce” fund (TQQQ for Nasdaq, UPRO for S&P 500) to try to catch a rebound—unless that rebound already happened in one big day, in which case it stays in BIL.
If the market has not been in that larger slump, it uses a more aggressive growth mix: 55% split between UPRO and TQQQ, favoring whichever has been less jumpy recently, plus 45% in TMF, a leveraged long-term U.S. Treasury bond fund. If stocks get too shaky over the last 10 days, it steps out and parks in BIL.
Dynamic regime-switching strategy protects in downturns, seizes rebounds with measured leverage, and adds diversification beyond SPY. OOS return ~16% vs SPY ~18%, with risk-managed exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.19 | 0.89 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 755.29% | 13.78% | -5.62% | -4.09% | 0.84 | |
| 9,949.32% | 31.95% | -8.08% | -11.76% | 1.1 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,004,931.56Regulatory Fees
$1,418.42
Total Slippage
$8,751.60
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 10, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, buy the dip, leveraged etfs, risk management, stocks and bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
SPDR Series Trust - State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 - Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST - SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Shares ETF Trust - Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares Trust - ProShares UltraPro QQQ 3x Shares
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares Trust - ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 ETF 3x Shares
Stocks