Portfolio: V1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | No K-1 | BIL
Today’s Change (Aug 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
In calm bull markets, run a leveraged 55/45 stock–bond mix (UPRO/TQQQ and TMF). In stressed markets, buy 5‑day dips in QQQ/SPY via TQQQ/UPRO, otherwise sit in BIL. Avoid chasing >5% same‑day bounces. Rebalanced daily.
Pick a mode. If the S&P 500 had a >10% drop at any point in the last year, use “bear”; otherwise “bull.”
Bear: when QQQ or SPY is down >5% over 5 days, buy its 3× fund (TQQQ or UPRO) unless it’s already up >5% today—then hold cash (BIL) or try the other index.
Bull: if the last 10 days were calm, hold ~55% UPRO/TQQQ (tilted to the steadier one) and 45% TMF; else BIL. Daily rebalance. UPRO=3× S&P, TQQQ=3× Nasdaq, TMF=3× long Treasuries, BIL=T‑bills; SPY/QQQ guide the checks.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~22% vs SPY ~21.4%; levered stock/bond mix with regime switches aims for higher upside while trimming risk in downturns. Calmar ~0.62 signals solid risk-adjusted performance, though drawdowns can exceed SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 0.88 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 796.58% | 14.31% | 3.95% | 4.88% | 0.87 | |
| 11,261.25% | 33.46% | 1.47% | 2.13% | 1.14 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,136,125.21Regulatory Fees
$1,313.43
Total Slippage
$8,468.38
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 10, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Us equities (s&p 500, nasdaq 100), us treasuries, leveraged etfs, dip-buying, regime switching, risk on/off, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total