Portfolio: V1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | No K-1 | BIL
Today’s Change (Mar 23, 2026)
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About
In calm bull markets, run a leveraged 55/45 stock–bond mix (UPRO/TQQQ and TMF). In stressed markets, buy 5‑day dips in QQQ/SPY via TQQQ/UPRO, otherwise sit in BIL. Avoid chasing >5% same‑day bounces. Rebalanced daily.
Pick a mode. If the S&P 500 had a >10% drop at any point in the last year, use “bear”; otherwise “bull.”
Bear: when QQQ or SPY is down >5% over 5 days, buy its 3× fund (TQQQ or UPRO) unless it’s already up >5% today—then hold cash (BIL) or try the other index.
Bull: if the last 10 days were calm, hold ~55% UPRO/TQQQ (tilted to the steadier one) and 45% TMF; else BIL. Daily rebalance. UPRO=3× S&P, TQQQ=3× Nasdaq, TMF=3× long Treasuries, BIL=T‑bills; SPY/QQQ guide the checks.
Adaptive regime-switching strategy: levered stock/bond core with dip-buying signals. Diversifies beyond the S&P, aims for upside in favorable regimes, and adds built-in risk controls for resilience during market stress.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 0.85 | 0.26 | 0.51 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 650.57% | 13.43% | -5.67% | -5.04% | 0.82 | |
| 8,344.91% | 31.97% | 0.28% | 7.03% | 1.11 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$844,491.06Regulatory Fees
$1,478.41
Total Slippage
$7,784.91
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 10, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Us equities (s&p 500, nasdaq 100), us treasuries, leveraged etfs, dip-buying, regime switching, risk on/off, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total