Portfolio: UPRO FTLT (No K-1)
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About
A daily, rules‑based switch that rotates among 3× S&P (UPRO), 3× Tech (TECL), long Treasuries (TLT/TMF), or T‑Bills (BIL) using stock trend, overbought/oversold signals, and a bonds‑vs‑high‑beta check. Very aggressive; uses leveraged ETFs.
Each day it picks one or two ETFs using simple “thermometers.” It reads the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ).
- Uptrend: hold a 3× S&P fund (UPRO) unless stocks look overheated (then T‑Bills, BIL) or very hot (then 3× long Treasuries, TMF).
- Downtrend: buy 3× Tech (TECL) only on deep dips; otherwise toggle among UPRO, long Treasuries (TLT), or BIL using short‑term trend and a bonds‑vs‑high‑beta check (IEI/BSV vs SPHB). Uses ETFs only (no K‑1).
Out-of-sample edge: ~45% annualized return with ~Sharpe 1.03—higher risk-adjusted upside vs. the S&P. Built-in drawdown protection via cash and Treasuries; a disciplined 5% sleeve across levered ETFs (UPRO/TECL/TMF/BIL).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.34 | 1.86 | 0.51 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 656.86% | 14.23% | 2.33% | 3.36% | 0.86 | |
| 265,231.58% | 67.92% | 5.63% | 13.31% | 1.38 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$26,533,157.75Regulatory Fees
$33,463.32
Total Slippage
$306,972.06
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 10, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, momentum, trend-following, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, equities, treasuries, cash
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks