Popped Stock/Bond
Today’s Change (Aug 7, 2026)
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About
A daily “pop and park” system: buy 3× stock funds when they look washed‑out, flip to a volatility spike trade when they look overheated, and otherwise park in T‑Bills or a bond/dollar/short‑stock mix. Heavy use of leveraged ETFs.
Daily it reads a 0–100 “heat gauge” (RSI) on a volatility fund (VIXM). If heat is high, it runs simple “pop” rules on S&P 500 (SPXL), Nasdaq (TQQQ) and Semis (SOXL): when their heat >80, buy UVXY (jumps when markets drop); when <30, buy the 3× bull fund; else sit in T‑Bills (BIL). If heat is normal, that “else” instead rotates among leveraged Treasury, dollar, sector, or short‑stock funds using trend checks. Uses leveraged ETFs; high risk.
Out-of-sample return ~25.2% vs SPY ~21.6%, driven by regime rotations and leveraged ETFs with volatility hedges. Drawdowns higher (~34% vs ~19%), but Calmar ~0.74 signals meaningful risk-adjusted upside for the right risk tolerance.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.35 | 1.2 | 0.39 | 0.63 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 786.25% | 15.88% | 2.3% | 5% | 0.96 | |
| 151,308.7% | 63.98% | 9.12% | 20.24% | 1.7 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$15,140,870.08Regulatory Fees
$19,919.39
Total Slippage
$173,137.87
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 28, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, momentum and mean‑reversion, volatility hedge, leveraged etfs, risk‑on/risk‑off, stocks‑bonds rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
MIDU
Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks