Pop Bots + Adaptive Asset Allocation - l GiantSteps/BrianE l Nov 2nd 2011
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A tactical blend of dip-buying in 3x stock ETFs and a rules-based rotation across tech, long bonds, commodities, gold miners, and the US dollar—plus a volatility hedge (UVXY) and a safety switch to short Treasuries (SHY) when fear spikes. Very high risk.
First, “pop” rules: if the Nasdaq (TQQQ) or S&P 500 (SPXL) has fallen hard (10‑day RSI < 30), buy the 3x ETF for a rebound; if they’re red‑hot (RSI > 80), buy UVXY for a brief volatility spike.
Otherwise, rotate among tech (TQQQ), long bonds (TMF/TMV), commodities (DBC), gold miners (JNUG), and the US dollar (USDU) by 6‑month strength, weighting the calmer asset more. If fear surges (VIXM overheated), park in SHY.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~24% vs S&P ~23%, backed by diversified tactical exposure (tech, bonds, commodities, USD) plus volatility hedge and safety switch. Higher upside with managed risk, though drawdowns can be larger in spikes.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 10, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum, mean reversion, volatility hedge, leveraged etfs, multi-asset, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
JNUG
Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks