Pop Bots + Adaptive Asset Allocation - l GiantSteps/BrianE l Nov 2nd 2011
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A signal-driven, multi-asset strategy that blends short-term momentum (RSI) with longer-term cross-asset trends to tilt among leveraged stock bets, volatility hedges, bonds, commodities, and USD exposure. It balances aggressive upside capture with hedging and diversification.
- Two core layers: Pop Bots (fast, signal-driven entries) and Adaptive Asset Allocation (broader cross-asset diversification).
- Pop Bots tilts to high-conviction bets among leveraged stock ETFs (e.g., SPXL, TQQQ, SOXL) or hedges (UVXY) when short-term momentum signals cross thresholds based on RSI (a simple momentum gauge).
- If a Pop Bot signal fires, the system place(s) all capital into the chosen instrument (weight 100/100). If not, it passes control to Adaptive Asset Allocation.
- Adaptive Asset Allocation builds a diversified mix across stocks (SPY, leveraged tech bets), bonds (SHY, TLT, TMF), commodities (DBC, JNUG), gold miners (JNUG), and USD proxies (UUP, USDU). It uses two momentum concepts: a long, cross-asset comparison (126-day cumulative returns) to identify leaders, and a short-term momentum check (RSI) to manage risk and tilt toward lower-volatility or defensive assets when needed. It also includes an “inverse volatility” rule to favor assets with lower volatility in stressed markets.
- The strategy dynamically shifts among exposures rather than rebalancing on a fixed calendar. Rebalance corridor and thresholds guide how aggressively weights can change, aiming to avoid whipsaws while capturing regime shifts.
- The result is a hybrid system: aggressive participation in uptrends via leveraged ETFs when conditions look favorable, tempered by hedging and diversification when risk rises. The overall objective is to improve risk-adjusted returns across different market regimes rather than simply chasing the strongest performer in any given day.
Out-of-sample annual return ~24% vs ~23% for the S&P, driven by adaptive multi-asset diversification and regime-aware hedging. It seeks bigger upside via selective leverage on uptrends while controlling risk, though drawdowns can be larger in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.59 | 0.58 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 347.16% | 13.14% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.8 | |
| 159,029.26% | 83.63% | 11.86% | 17.21% | 1.85 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$15,912,926.27Regulatory Fees
$49,628.02
Total Slippage
$339,284.36
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 10, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, leveraged etfs, momentum/trend following, adaptive asset allocation, volatility hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
JNUG
Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks