Pop Bots 2.2 - Black Swan Update
Today’s Change (Jul 31, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, risk‑on/risk‑off system: hunt short rebounds in S&P/Nasdaq/Semis with 3x ETFs when they’re washed out, sit in T‑Bills or short bonds when not, and switch to a volatility‑spike hedge (UVXY) and safe havens during market panics.
Daily it flips between crash‑mode and normal‑mode. Crash‑mode turns on when UVXY (a fund that jumps in panics) shows strong momentum: it may buy UVXY or park in short bonds/US dollar. Normal‑mode uses a trend filter (50 vs 200‑day). In uptrends, three “Pop Bots” buy 3x S&P/Nasdaq/Semis only on sharp dips (RSI = a price‑speed/heat gauge; low = washed out), else sit in T‑Bills. In downtrends, it may short the S&P (3x) or hold low‑vol dividend stocks.
Dynamic risk-on/risk-off strategy with solid out-of-sample risk-adjusted performance: OOS Sharpe ~1.10, beta ~0.46, Calmar ~1.01, and ~21% annualized return vs SPY. Similar upside with far lower market beta and crash protection via UVXY and cash.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.36 | 0.06 | 0 | 0.03 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 545.06% | 14.53% | -0.68% | 3.47% | 0.89 | |
| 9,446.08% | 39.34% | 11.74% | 9.95% | 1.24 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$954,607.61Regulatory Fees
$1,085.03
Total Slippage
$8,863.25
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 5, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility hedge, leveraged etfs, momentum & mean reversion, crash protection, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPHD
Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SUB
iShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks