Pop Bot (SPY vs BND) l BrianE l May 30th 2007
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Rules-based, daily switch between QLD (2x Nasdaq‑100) and BIL (T‑bills). Uses simple momentum of stocks vs bonds plus a yield‑curve check to go risk‑on (QLD) or stay safe (BIL).
RSI = a 0–100 gauge of recent up vs down days; above 50 means upward bias. Daily: 1) If US stocks (SPY) have 60‑day RSI >50, then compare 20‑day RSI of bonds (BND) vs stocks: if bonds > stocks, buy QLD (a 2x Nasdaq‑100 fund, big‑tech heavy); else hold BIL (T‑bills). 2) If SPY isn’t >50, check bonds: if long‑term Treasuries (TLT) have stronger 200‑day RSI than intermediate (IEF), run step 1; otherwise stay in BIL. Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample shows 32.6% annualized return vs 22.3% for the S&P, Sharpe 1.60, Calmar 2.22, and max drawdown 14.7% vs 18.8% for SPY. Higher risk-adjusted upside with disciplined, rules-based momentum timing—less drawdown, more growth.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 532.45% | 10.35% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.6 | |
| 13,080.49% | 29.77% | 0.99% | 4.04% | 1.3 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,318,048.61Regulatory Fees
$3,941.76
Total Slippage
$22,545.80
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 9, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, yield-curve filter
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total