Pop Bot (SPY vs BND) l BrianE l May 30th 2007
Today’s Change (Aug 23, 2026)
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About
All-or-nothing: buy QLD (2× Nasdaq‑100) when bonds’ short-term momentum beats stocks and the backdrop is supportive; otherwise sit in BIL (T‑bills). Signals use RSI on SPY, BND, IEF, and TLT. Rebalanced daily.
RSI is a 0–100 score of recent price strength; above 50 means it’s been rising. Each day: If SPY (S&P 500) 60‑day RSI > 50, compare 20‑day RSI of BND (bonds) vs SPY. If BND > SPY, buy QLD (2× Nasdaq‑100, tech‑heavy); else hold BIL (T‑bills). If SPY’s 60‑day RSI ≤ 50, only run that same trade when TLT (20+Y) has stronger 200‑day RSI than IEF (7–10Y); otherwise stay in BIL.
Out-of-sample, this strategy beats the S&P on risk-adjusted return and downside: oos Sharpe ~1.55 vs ~1.36, annualized ~31% vs ~22%, max drawdown ~14.7% vs ~18.8%, Calmar ~2.13, with disciplined 2x Nasdaq exposure and cash protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.49 | 0.2 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610.58% | 10.75% | 2.33% | 3.36% | 0.62 | |
| 14,868.58% | 29.8% | 0.34% | 15.4% | 1.31 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,496,857.58Regulatory Fees
$3,421.97
Total Slippage
$24,775.80
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 9, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum (rsi), tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, nasdaq-100 focus, treasury signals
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total