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Picofolio | 1. 🚂 2.🧦 | 23FEB2023
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About

A tactical portfolio that mainly times semiconductors using a “hot/cold” meter (RSI), flipping between 3x up (SOXL) and 3x down (SOXS). A second sleeve reacts to the dollar, bonds, gold, and cash, plus a small defensive COST/UNH sleeve.
NutHow it works
Rules-based, fast-trading mix. Uses RSI (0–100 hot/cold gauge of recent up vs down days). Core bet is semiconductors via SOXL/SOXS (3x up/down): too hot → SOXS; very cold → often SOXL. A macro sleeve holds USD (UUP/USDU) in dollar uptrends; otherwise rotates among cash (BIL), semis, and commodities (DBC). Extreme S&P signals shift to gold (UGL) or shorts (SH/PSQ). A small “meat shield” owns COST/UNH unless markets lurch lower, then cash (BIL).
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: ~26.1% annualized return vs SPY’s ~24.7%, with Calmar ~0.73. A rules-based semis timing + macro diversification strategy aiming for higher upside and disciplined drawdown hedging.
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 20%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, momentum and mean‑reversion, semiconductors, leveraged etfs, macro rotation, us dollar, commodities, gold, treasuries, defensive stocks
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type