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Pick the Trending Commodity
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A monthly, trend-following commodities mix. Each of six sleeves holds its commodity theme only if it beat 7–10yr U.S. Treasuries over ~1 month; otherwise it parks in Treasuries. Aims to join commodity uptrends and default to bonds when they lag.
NutHow it works
Once a month, the strategy splits your money equally into six sleeves: gold (GLD), agriculture (DBA), base metals (DBB), oil (DBO), uranium stocks (URA), and timber/forestry stocks (WOOD). For each sleeve it checks: over ~1 month, did this fund beat a 7–10yr U.S. Treasury bond fund (IEF)? If yes, hold the commodity fund; if not, hold IEF instead. Several sleeves can be in IEF at once. Note: URA/WOOD own companies, not raw materials.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample, this monthly multi-commodity rotation hedges with Treasuries, delivering stronger risk-adjusted returns than the S&P (Sharpe ~0.86 vs ~0.82) and smaller max drawdowns (15.6% vs 22.1%), plus diversification when markets wobble.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.040.130.050.23
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
628.91%13.95%0.54%-0.34%0.85
131.06%5.66%8.33%14.76%0.6
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$23,105.53
Regulatory Fees
$31.70
Total Slippage
$182.43
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 13, 2022
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Commodities, trend-following, momentum, tactical rotation, risk-on/risk-off, treasuries hedge, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBB
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
URA
Global X Uranium ETF
Stocks
WOOD
iShares Global Timber & Forestry ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"Pick the Trending Commodity" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"Pick the Trending Commodity" is currently allocated toDBOandIEF. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "Pick the Trending Commodity" has returned 10.30%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "Pick the Trending Commodity" is 15.65%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "Pick the Trending Commodity", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.