Pick the Trending Commodity
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
A monthly, trend-following commodities mix. Each of six sleeves holds its commodity theme only if it beat 7–10yr U.S. Treasuries over ~1 month; otherwise it parks in Treasuries. Aims to join commodity uptrends and default to bonds when they lag.
Once a month, the strategy splits your money equally into six sleeves: gold (GLD), agriculture (DBA), base metals (DBB), oil (DBO), uranium stocks (URA), and timber/forestry stocks (WOOD). For each sleeve it checks: over ~1 month, did this fund beat a 7–10yr U.S. Treasury bond fund (IEF)? If yes, hold the commodity fund; if not, hold IEF instead. Several sleeves can be in IEF at once. Note: URA/WOOD own companies, not raw materials.
Out-of-sample, this monthly multi-commodity rotation hedges with Treasuries, delivering stronger risk-adjusted returns than the S&P (Sharpe ~0.86 vs ~0.82) and smaller max drawdowns (15.6% vs 22.1%), plus diversification when markets wobble.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 628.91% | 13.95% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.85 | |
| 131.06% | 5.66% | 8.33% | 14.76% | 0.6 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$23,105.53Regulatory Fees
$31.70
Total Slippage
$182.43
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 13, 2022
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Commodities, trend-following, momentum, tactical rotation, risk-on/risk-off, treasuries hedge, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total