Pencil's Down V4 | 6.15.26
Today’s Change (Aug 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules‑based, high‑octane trader that rides tech and crypto uptrends and quickly flips to hedges when markets look overheated or shaky, using “hot/cold” (RSI), trend and volatility checks. It relies on leveraged/inverse ETFs, so risk is high.
Each day it checks: trend (vs long-term average), heat (RSI = short‑term “hot/cold” gauge), volatility (VIX/UVXY), and rates/commodities. If stocks are calm and trending up, it buys the strongest of leveraged tech: TQQQ (3x Nasdaq), SOXL (3x semis), or UPRO (3x S&P). If overheated or falling, it flips to hedges (SQQQ/SOXS 3x inverse, UVXY/VIXY, Treasuries TLT/TMF, dollar UUP, BTAL). When bitcoin trends up (BITO/GBTC), it rotates into crypto miners (MSTR, MARA, RIOT). A managed‑futures cue (KMLM) helps throttle risk. Cash parks in T‑bill ETFs (BIL/SHV).
Out-of-sample edge: capture tech/crypto uptrends with proactive hedging. Sharpe ~5.3; outsized annualized returns vs the S&P; risk controlled by regime switches, volatility hedges, and cash exposure. Higher upside with disciplined risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.98 | -0.03 | 0 | -0.01 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.7% | 18.75% | 2.3% | 5% | 1.14 | |
| 162,109.34% | 536.96% | 45.24% | 81.58% | 4 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$16,220,934.35Regulatory Fees
$20,552.06
Total Slippage
$177,802.46
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 15, 2026
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, momentum, regime-switching, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, crypto, bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 106 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
ABBV
ABBVIE INC.
Stocks
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
ARBK
Argo Blockchain plc American Depositary Shares
Stocks
BGDE
Big Digital Energy, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITI
ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF
Stocks