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Symphonies
Pencil's Down V3 | 4.8.25
Today’s Change
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A rule‑based, risk‑on/risk‑off “trend hunter” that rides strong uptrends (often in 3x tech/semis) and rapidly shifts to cash, Treasuries, the dollar, or volatility/inverse hedges when fear or downtrends appear. Includes EM and Bitcoin sleeves.
NutHow it works
Each day it checks simple market health gauges: a heat meter of recent buying vs. selling (RSI), price trends (moving averages), and the “fear” index (VIX). If fear is low and trends are up, it concentrates in fast movers (often 3x tech/semis like TQQQ/SOXL/UPRO). If fear jumps or trends break, it quickly moves to T‑Bills (BIL/SHV), Treasuries (TLT/TMF), the dollar (UUP), or hedges (SQQQ, SPXU, VIXY/UVXY). It also has sleeves for emerging markets and Bitcoin (BITO/GBTC + miners) that switch on only when their trends are healthy. KMLM (a managed‑futures ETF) is used as a cross‑check on big‑picture trend. Uses many leveraged funds, so swings can be large.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample, this rule-based trend strategy delivers superior risk-adjusted returns vs the S&P: Sharpe 3.01 vs 2.42, ~114% annualized vs ~30%, Calmar ~11.9, with dynamic hedges and cash shifts to capture upside while managing risk.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 18, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Aggressive multi‑strategy, trend following, volatility‑timed, leveraged etfs, tech momentum, crypto sleeve, risk‑on/off, tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"Pencil's Down V3 | 4.8.25" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"Pencil's Down V3 | 4.8.25" is currently allocated toPGR, SOXL, COKE, NVO, TECL, LLY, EDZandCOST. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "Pencil's Down V3 | 4.8.25" has returned 113.58%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "Pencil's Down V3 | 4.8.25" is 9.55%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "Pencil's Down V3 | 4.8.25", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, crypto, and options.