Pencil's Down V3 | 2.23.26
Today’s Change (Mar 14, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Aggressive, rules-based “risk on/risk off” approach. In calm uptrends it chases momentum (often 3x tech/semis). When markets overheat or fall, it shifts to T‑Bills or hedges with inverse/VIX or Treasuries. Includes a trend‑triggered crypto sleeve.
A rules-based “switchboard” that constantly checks: volatility (VIX funds), the long-term trend (200‑day line), interest rates (Treasuries), momentum (RSI = a “hot/cold” meter), and crypto’s trend (BITO/GBTC). If calm and trending up, it buys the strongest growth funds (often 3x tech/semis like TQQQ/SOXL/UPRO). If overheated or falling, it moves to T‑Bills (BIL/SHV) or hedges (SQQQ/SPXU/SOXS, VIXY/UVXY) or Treasuries/dollar. It also rotates into EM or a small Bitcoin/miners basket when those trends are favorable. KMLM = managed‑futures check.
An out-of-sample tested risk-on/risk-off system that captures tech upside with leverage during rallies and shifts to Treasuries or hedges in downturns, delivering stronger risk-adjusted returns and smaller drawdowns vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | 0.23 | 0.01 | 0.1 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70.32% | 15.94% | -2.85% | -2.42% | 0.98 | |
| 21,477.45% | 345.12% | 1.23% | 6.17% | 3.98 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,157,745.27Regulatory Fees
$5,029.96
Total Slippage
$31,057.53
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 23, 2026
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Aggressive trend-following, tactical allocation, leveraged & inverse etfs, volatility hedging, bonds/rates filters, crypto sleeve, managed-futures check
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 112 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
ABBV
ABBVIE INC.
Stocks
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
ARBK
Argo Blockchain plc American Depositary Shares
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITF
Bitfarms Ltd. Common Stock
Stocks
BITI
ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF
Stocks