Pareto's Portfolio (zoop edition PDBC -> PDI) (57,30,2012)
Today’s Change (Dec 16, 2025)
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About
Daily risk-on/risk-off: panic -> T‑Bills; if bonds beat cash, hold the 2 strongest 3x equity index ETFs (TQQQ, UPRO, UDOW, TNA); otherwise hold PDI plus the stronger of TMF (3x long Treasuries) or TMV (3x short). High volatility.
Daily it follows a simple flow:
1) If market fear spikes (a volatility fund, UVXY, surges), park in cash‑like T‑Bills (BIL).
2) Else, if core bonds (BND) beat cash over ~3 months, buy the 2 strongest of: TQQQ=3x Nasdaq‑100, UPRO=3x S&P 500, UDOW=3x Dow, TNA=3x small caps.
3) Else, split between PDI (income‑focused bond/credit fund) and whichever trends better: TMF=3x long Treasuries or TMV=3x short Treasuries. Note: uses 3x ETFs; very volatile.
Dynamic, risk-managed rotation across 3x equity bets and a bond/credit sleeve with a volatility-triggered safety net. Aims for higher long-run upside vs the S&P. Out-of-sample: ~20.6% annualized return; ~0.63 Sharpe; note larger drawdowns in stress regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 1.4 | 0.37 | 0.61 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 554.99% | 14.9% | 2.26% | 3.28% | 0.91 | |
| 35,164.69% | 54.28% | 8.83% | 4.28% | 1.31 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,526,469.44Regulatory Fees
$10,681.16
Total Slippage
$66,219.54
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 7, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, trend following, leveraged etfs, volatility filter, bonds & credit, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
PDI
PIMCO Dynamic Income Fund
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TNA
Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UDOW
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks