Pareto's Portfolio (zoop edition)
Today’s Change (Dec 15, 2025)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily tactical plan: flee to T‑bills when the market’s fear gauge overheats; otherwise ride the strongest stock indexes with 3× funds when bonds are healthy; if not, buy the most beaten‑down defensive/real asset plus a tiny bond‑trend hedge. No K‑1.
Each day it picks offense or defense.
1) If a “fear gauge” (a volatility fund) is running hot (a 0–100 speedometer of recent price moves reads >75), it parks in T‑bills (cash‑like).
2) Else if bonds beat cash over ~3 months, it buys the two strongest US stock indexes (Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, Dow 30, small‑caps) using 3× funds.
3) Otherwise it puts ~98% in the most beaten‑down of consumer‑staples stocks, investment‑grade bonds, or diversified commodities (no K‑1), and ~2% long/short long‑Treasuries.
Out-of-sample: lower return and Sharpe than the S&P, but a regime-driven, rules-based approach offers diversification, volatility-based risk-off protection, and a tax-friendly no-K-1 structure—complementing core stock exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.36 | 1.27 | 0.32 | 0.56 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 298.27% | 13.34% | -0.24% | 3.99% | 0.79 | |
| 15,352.45% | 57.89% | -2.72% | 6.29% | 1.34 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,545,244.86Regulatory Fees
$6,737.72
Total Slippage
$39,597.08
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 9, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum, volatility trigger, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TNA
Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UDOW
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks