Pareto's Portfolio (Publication Edition)
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based “risk-on/risk-off” portfolio: hides in T‑bills on volatility spikes, owns recent winners among big US stocks when bonds beat cash, and otherwise rotates into commodity and bond ETFs to stay defensive.
1) If fear spikes: If VIXY (a volatility ETF) jumps fast (RSI>75; RSI is a short‑term “speed” gauge), move 100% to BIL (1–3 mo T‑Bills).
2) Else, compare last 60 days: if BND (broad US bonds) beat BIL, go risk‑on—split across S&P/Nasdaq/Dow buckets and buy the top 3 recent winners in each (20‑day momentum), equal‑weighted.
3) If bonds didn’t beat cash, go risk‑off—50% in the 2 strongest commodity funds and 50% in the 3 strongest bond/cash funds.
Out-of-sample Sharpe around 1.48 vs 1.33 for the S&P, annualized return ~28% vs ~21%, Calmar ~1.32. Combines risk-off cash triggers with momentum rotations in mega-cap leaders for higher upside with disciplined risk vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 0.42 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243.99% | 14.8% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.83 | |
| 1,081.75% | 31.78% | 1.05% | -7.7% | 1.48 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$118,175.04Regulatory Fees
$890.36
Total Slippage
$5,553.60
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation,momentum,risk-on/risk-off,volatility filter,equities,commodities,bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 56 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMGN
Amgen Inc
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
AXP
American Express Company
Stocks
BA
Boeing Company
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks