PalPort MM1.2 BEAR SP no start conditional
Today’s Change (Apr 21, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, bear‑market‑oriented rotation that usually holds one ETF: mainly Treasuries and gold/silver, sometimes oil. It watches a fear gauge (VIX) to switch into volatility hedges, and in panic extremes briefly flips to leveraged tech/semis for rebounds.
Each day it builds a few “candidates” (gold, silver, long/mid‑term Treasuries, oil, and—only in special cases—volatility or leveraged tech/semis). It ranks them by recent average returns. A fear gauge (VIX) guides one branch: low fear → bonds; rising fear → volatility (UVXY); extreme fear → brief rebound bets (TQQQ/SOXL). It then holds the single best pick.
Bear-market rotation with negative SPY beta for diversification when equities fall. Defensive core (treasuries, gold) with hedges; OOS return ~11% but drawdowns can reach ~55% in crises—a risk-aware complement to the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | -0.36 | 0.02 | -0.15 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 632.75% | 14.89% | 9.27% | 4.88% | 0.92 | |
| 4,521.07% | 30.63% | 2.1% | 27.71% | 0.86 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$462,106.90Regulatory Fees
$3,152.65
Total Slippage
$20,492.81
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 27, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, bear-market defense, volatility-regime switch, momentum + rsi, treasuries & metals, commodities, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
USO
United States Oil Fund, LP
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks