*P 2-3-25 🛡 // 016-HG-Simplified-EW-V2-LR Wolf // SHORT ONLY
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, short‑biased, rules‑driven system. It shorts only when markets look very “hot,” otherwise hides in T‑bills/bonds. In downtrends it rotates among defensive assets (Treasuries, USD, gold) and selective shorts based on momentum/RSI.
RSI is a 0–100 “hot/cold” gauge (high=overheated, low=washed‑out). Daily it checks trend (S&P vs 200‑day avg). In uptrends it shorts only at extremes (via SQQQ/SPXS=3x inverse Nasdaq/S&P or UVXY=volatility); else parks in T‑bills (BIL/SHV). In downtrends it mostly holds T‑bills/Treasuries (SHY/TLT). After sharp drops it may short sharp rebounds; it can also hold USD (UUP) or gold (UGL) when their momentum leads.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.095 vs ~0.930, annualized return 19.38% vs 17.40%, drawdown 11.03% vs 18.76%, and negative SPY beta for diversification. Higher Calmar ~1.76 signals strong risk control.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | -0.66 | 0.11 | -0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 640.11% | 14.85% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.91 | |
| 43,441.36% | 52.26% | -2.88% | -2.35% | 1.42 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,354,135.87Regulatory Fees
$12,448.74
Total Slippage
$82,991.59
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 27, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Short-biased, tactical, trend filter, inverse etfs, volatility, treasuries, usd, gold, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
STIP
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks