*P 2-3-25 🛡 // 016-HG-Simplified-EW-V2-LR Wolf // SHORT ONLY
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, short‑biased, rules‑driven system. It shorts only when markets look very “hot,” otherwise hides in T‑bills/bonds. In downtrends it rotates among defensive assets (Treasuries, USD, gold) and selective shorts based on momentum/RSI.
RSI is a 0–100 “hot/cold” gauge (high=overheated, low=washed‑out). Daily it checks trend (S&P vs 200‑day avg). In uptrends it shorts only at extremes (via SQQQ/SPXS=3x inverse Nasdaq/S&P or UVXY=volatility); else parks in T‑bills (BIL/SHV). In downtrends it mostly holds T‑bills/Treasuries (SHY/TLT). After sharp drops it may short sharp rebounds; it can also hold USD (UUP) or gold (UGL) when their momentum leads.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers stronger risk-adjusted returns (Sharpe 1.095 vs 0.930), higher annualized return (19.38% vs 17.40%), and notably lower drawdown (11.03% vs 18.76%), with a Calmar around 1.76.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | -0.66 | 0.11 | -0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 638.63% | 14.83% | 9.27% | 4.88% | 0.91 | |
| 44,173.05% | 52.42% | -1.28% | -0.71% | 1.43 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,427,304.69Regulatory Fees
$12,580.15
Total Slippage
$83,877.16
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 27, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Short-biased, tactical, trend filter, inverse etfs, volatility, treasuries, usd, gold, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
STIP
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks