Overfit? I think not
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based, multi-asset portfolio: blue‑chip U.S. stocks for growth, plus larger bond/defensive and inflation sleeves that rotate among Treasuries, T‑bills, dollar, gold, staples, and commodities using simple trend and volatility checks.
Built from three sleeves: 1) equal-weight big U.S. stocks; 2) bond/defensive sleeve that leans into long Treasuries when calm, but shifts to T‑bills, dollar, gold, and staples when bonds get jumpy; 3) preservation/inflation sleeve that follows trends and, with safeguards, can profit when long‑term bonds fall.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 2.15 vs SPY 1.35, max drawdown 7.5% vs 18.8%, Calmar 2.31, and 17.3% annualized return. A blue-chip growth core with defensive sleeves delivers higher risk-adjusted returns and better capital protection than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.48 | 0.78 | 0.88 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 490.54% | 14.23% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.88 | |
| 374.33% | 12.37% | 0.29% | 5.1% | 1.33 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$47,433.11Regulatory Fees
$6.37
Total Slippage
$38.29
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 8%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, tactical allocation, trend-following, volatility filters, inflation hedge, risk-managed
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 29 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DIS
The Walt Disney Company
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
HD
Home Depot, Inc.
Stocks
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks