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Overfit? I think not
Today’s Change

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About

Rules-based mix of blue‑chip US stocks plus tactical bond, gold, dollar and commodity sleeves. Uses “calm vs stormy” bond signals and momentum to shift risk, with a hedge that can profit when long‑duration bond prices fall.
NutHow it works
Three buckets. 1) Growth: a dozen blue‑chip US stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Disney, etc.). 2) Bonds/Yield: rotates among Treasuries (SHV/SHY/TLT), corporate (LQD/HYG) and inflation‑linked (TIP). If long Treasuries are calm it pairs a levered long‑Treasury fund (TMF) with short Treasuries; if jumpy it shifts to short Treasuries, US dollar (UUP), gold (GLD) and Consumer Staples (XLP). 3) Preservation: trend rules pick recent winners across stocks, bonds, gold, dollar and commodities (DBC), with an option to short long bonds (TMV). Trades mainly when signals flip.
CheckmarkValue prop
Strikes a smarter balance: out-of-sample Sharpe 1.99 vs S&P 1.37, Calmar 2.13, and max drawdown ~7.5% vs ~18.8%. Lower beta (~0.40) with diversified bonds, gold, USD and trend hedges delivers steadier, risk-adjusted growth—not just raw returns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
Alpha
Beta
R2
R
0.05
0.48
0.8
0.89
Performance Metrics
Cumulative Return
Annualized Return
Trailing 1M Return
Trailing 3M Return
Sharpe Ratio
470.46%
14.26%
-1.67%
2.89%
0.87
340.94%
12.03%
-1.8%
6.73%
1.3
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$44,093.68
Regulatory Fees
$6.35
Total Slippage
$38.29
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 8%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, tactical allocation, trend-following, volatility filter, momentum, inflation hedge, defensive, bonds, commodities, gold, usd
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type