optimization testing
Today’s Change (Feb 14, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based “volatility timing” strategy: it mostly sits in T‑bills. When big stock benchmarks look short‑term overheated (via a 10‑day RSI), it scales into UVXY (a VIX ETF). If no heat, it stays in T‑bills with a small gold/inflation/rate‑hedge sleeve.
Each day it checks a 10‑day “heat” score (RSI: 0–100; higher = overheated) on SPY (S&P 500), QQQ (Nasdaq‑100), VTV (value stocks), and XLP (consumer staples).
When any look very hot (RSI > ~76), it gradually buys UVXY (a turbocharged VIX “fear index” ETF). The hotter it is, the bigger the UVXY slice. If not hot, it parks that slice in BIL (T‑bills).
If nothing is hot, it sits mostly in T‑bills and a small winner of GLD (gold), RINF (inflation), or PFIX (rate‑hedge). Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample, this volatility-timing strategy delivers ~158% annualized return vs ~9% for the S&P, with near-zero equity exposure most days and cash/T-bill safety, plus hedges for inflation and rates.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | 0.18 | 0.05 | 0.22 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 13.57% | -1.73% | 1.75% | 0.83 | |
| 5,284.74% | 120.41% | 10.54% | 16.32% | 5.82 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$538,474.03Regulatory Fees
$1,396.67
Total Slippage
$8,697.89
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 12, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility timing, rsi-based, tactical hedging, cash/treasuries, gold/inflation/rate hedges, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 152 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ACWI
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
ARCC
Ares Capital Corporation
Stocks
BBH
VanEck Biotech ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
Stocks
BOIL
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
CORP
PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
CWB
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities ETF
Stocks