Oil signal 2
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Daily oil-vs-cash rotation: if energy momentum (RSI of EDC) > 60, go all-in on BNO (oil); otherwise park in BIL (cash). Simple, momentum-based, single-asset exposure with daily rebalance.
- Each day, compute the 30-day RSI of the energy ticker EDC.
- If RSI(30) on EDC is greater than 60, allocate 100% of the portfolio to BNO (oil).
- If RSI(30) on EDC is not greater than 60, allocate 100% of the portfolio to BIL (short-term U.S. Treasuries, a cash-like asset).
- Rebalance daily, selling the current position and buying the new one to maintain full exposure to a single asset.
- The result is a simple oil-vs-cash rotation driven by momentum in the energy signal, not a diversified multi-asset mix.
- Note: while the wrapper mentions cash-equal weighting, the inner logic effectively produces a single-asset allocation at any rebalance.
Out-of-sample edge: 34.2% annualized return vs S&P ~29%, Calmar 3.30, and beta ~0.10—low market sensitivity with strong risk-adjusted gains. Drawdowns can be larger (~10%), but oil momentum aims for higher upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.11 | 0.02 | 0 | 0.04 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707.11% | 14.17% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.86 | |
| 457.98% | 11.52% | 17.64% | 33.73% | 1.27 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$55,798.41Regulatory Fees
$120.37
Total Slippage
$727.87
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 23, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, binary rotation, energy exposure, cash-like hedge, daily rebalance