Oil and Volatility
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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About
Daily oil signal drives switches among oil (NRGU), cash (SHV), a bet on calmer markets (SVXY), or a bet on rising fear (VIXM). Very weak oil → NRGU; sharp drop+weak → cash; drop+stabilizing → SVXY; very strong → VIXM; else cash.
Each day it reads Big Oil via NRGU (a 3× Big Oil note). It uses RSI (0–100 gauge of recent price speed: low=fallen fast, high=rising fast) and 9‑day drawdown (recent peak‑to‑trough drop). Rules: very weak (RSI<12) → buy NRGU; big recent drop and still weak → hold SHV (T‑bills); big drop but stabilizing → buy SVXY (benefits if volatility calms); otherwise, if very strong (RSI>78) → buy VIXM (rising volatility); else SHV.
Low-correlation, regime-driven strategy (beta ~0.58 to SPY) using oil/vol signals. Delivers diversification with positive out-of-sample risk-adjusted performance (Sharpe ~0.35), making it a compelling complement to SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08 | 0.47 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.8% | 22.85% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 1.18 | |
| 20.12% | 17.87% | 13.98% | 14.55% | 0.85 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,011.64Regulatory Fees
$7.49
Total Slippage
$47.98
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Energy, volatility, tactical timing, leveraged etn, daily rebalance, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 4 assets in total