Oil and Volatility
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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About
Daily oil signal drives switches among oil (NRGU), cash (SHV), a bet on calmer markets (SVXY), or a bet on rising fear (VIXM). Very weak oil → NRGU; sharp drop+weak → cash; drop+stabilizing → SVXY; very strong → VIXM; else cash.
Each day it reads Big Oil via NRGU (a 3× Big Oil note). It uses RSI (0–100 gauge of recent price speed: low=fallen fast, high=rising fast) and 9‑day drawdown (recent peak‑to‑trough drop). Rules: very weak (RSI<12) → buy NRGU; big recent drop and still weak → hold SHV (T‑bills); big drop but stabilizing → buy SVXY (benefits if volatility calms); otherwise, if very strong (RSI>78) → buy VIXM (rising volatility); else SHV.
Diversify with a low-beta, rule-driven oil/volatility sleeve. Out-of-sample Sharpe ~0.81 and Calmar ~0.72 with 0.47 beta to the S&P, offering risk management and distinct return drivers when stocks swing.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06 | 0.47 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.62% | 24.55% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 1.29 | |
| 21.25% | 16.17% | -0.33% | 11.31% | 0.81 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,124.90Regulatory Fees
$7.85
Total Slippage
$62.58
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Energy, volatility, tactical timing, leveraged etn, daily rebalance, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 4 assets in total