Oil (33.1, 26.2, 2010)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Rules-based oil sleeve: buys big dips with UCO, goes long Brent (BNO) when global risk appetite is hot, trend-trades WTI with DBO or SCO, and parks in BIL when trends are weak. Uses RSI and moving averages; rebalanced daily.
Daily it holds one ETF tied to oil. 1) If oil is extremely oversold (RSI—a 0–100 “heat meter” of recent moves—is very low), it buys UCO (2x oil). 2) Else, if emerging‑market stocks (EEM) are very strong, it buys BNO (Brent). 3) Else, if oil is above its 130‑day average, it buys DBO (oil) when short‑term momentum is up, or SCO (−2x oil) when it’s down. 4) Otherwise it holds BIL (T‑bills).
Rules-based oil-cycle strategy aims to diversify a stock portfolio with near-zero S&P beta, capturing oil uptrends and cash buffers. Potential oil-cycle upside; but out-of-sample results show larger drawdowns and negative returns—assess risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 0.09 | 0 | 0.06 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 724.37% | 14.35% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.87 | |
| 8,303.02% | 32.55% | 21.73% | 39.62% | 1.25 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$840,302.07Regulatory Fees
$2,338.98
Total Slippage
$13,556.58
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 23, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Commodities, oil & energy, tactical, mean reversion, trend-following, leveraged etfs, risk filter, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total