OG v1.4 | Adaptive All Weather Portfolio | Beta Baller removed
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Adaptive all-weather, multi-asset strategy with 30% equities, 55% bonds, 15% commodities. Uses risk-on/off tilts, crash protection, and levered/anti-beta ETFs to try to outperform the market across environments. K-1 free; no fixed calendar rebalancing in this version.
In plain language, the strategy splits your money into three big buckets (stocks-like assets, bonds, and commodities) with a target mix. It then watches the market to decide which bucket to tilt toward when things look good or bad. If markets look calm and rising, it tilts toward leveraged stock proxies to chase bigger gains. If markets look shaky or rates are rising, it moves toward hedges and safer or inverse exposures (like short S&P 500 or dollar bets) and adjusts the bond mix toward short-term or bear-bond plays. The commodities bucket adds diversification and momentum by picking the best-performing commodity ETFs over a short window. There’s also a “crash protection” layer intended to reduce losses during spikes in volatility. The system uses simple tests (price vs moving average, recent performance, and momentum indicators) to decide which assets to buy and when to switch to hedges. Rebalancing isn’t automatic here, and the plan relies on a fixed target three-bucket allocation with dynamic internal tilts to adapt to market regimes. The aim is to outpace a plain S&P 500 over time without taking the hassle of tax-form complexity, by using ETFs only.
Out-of-sample, this adaptive, multi-asset strategy posts higher returns (24.5% vs 21.1%), lower beta (~0.64), and smaller drawdowns (~18.3% vs 18.8%), with strong Calmar risk-adjusted gains—delivering steadier growth than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.36 | 0.17 | 0.41 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 261.46% | 14.61% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.84 | |
| 1,032.21% | 29.38% | 1.2% | 1.62% | 1.69 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$113,220.52Regulatory Fees
$467.04
Total Slippage
$2,792.57
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 10, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Adaptive all-weather, multi-asset, leveraged, risk-on/risk-off tilts, volatility signals, k-1 free
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 34 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COMT
iShares U.S. ETF Trust iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLTR
abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF
Stocks
OILK
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks