OG v1.4 | Adaptive All Weather Portfolio | Beta Baller removed
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Adaptive, K‑1‑free take on All Weather. It tilts among stocks, bonds, and commodities and uses leverage when trends are favorable. A volatility circuit breaker and rate‑regime test shift to dollar strength, defensive sectors, or inverse funds in stress.
First, a safety switch: if market fear (from a volatility fund) is high, it either hides in very short‑term bonds or, if the uptrend still holds, keeps a small, broad stock bet.
Otherwise it runs a 30% stocks / 55% bonds / 15% commodities mix. It detects falling vs rising interest rates. In falling‑rate uptrends it uses leveraged stock and bond funds; in rising‑rate stress it favors the U.S. dollar, defensive sectors, and funds that profit when stocks or bonds drop.
Out-of-sample, this adaptive All-Weather strategy delivers 24.26% annualized return vs 21.06% for the S&P, with similar-to-better drawdown control (18.33% vs 18.76%) and a Calmar of ~1.32—providing higher upside with disciplined risk management.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.36 | 0.17 | 0.41 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 272.7% | 15.26% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.87 | |
| 1,029.01% | 29.91% | -0.46% | 0.49% | 1.71 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$112,901.38Regulatory Fees
$443.93
Total Slippage
$2,653.96
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 10, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Adaptive asset allocation, trend following, risk-on/off switching, multi-asset, leveraged/inverse etfs, bonds, commodities, dollar
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 34 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COMT
iShares U.S. ETF Trust iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLTR
abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF
Stocks
OILK
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks