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OG v1.0 3x SPY for the long run - from TQQQ For The Long Term Minimal | Dereck Nielsen, Pietros Maneos & Raekon v1.4 | 167.3%/34.4% DD from 28 Oct 2011
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

Rules-based rotation that rides S&P 500 uptrends with SPXL (3x) but flips to UVXY, SPXU, or TLT when markets look overheated, fearful, or in downtrends. Uses a 200‑day average and RSI (overbought/oversold) to switch. Very high risk due to leverage and volatility products.
NutHow it works
First, check SPY vs its 200‑day average (a long‑term trend gauge). If above, it mostly holds SPXL (3x S&P 500). If tech (TQQQ) or SPY look overbought by RSI (0–100; high=ran up fast), it flips to UVXY (volatility). After sharp 5‑day drops it may short (SPXU) unless deeply oversold, then buys SPXL. If choppy, it parks in TLT (long Treasuries). If SPY is below its 200‑day, it rotates among UVXY, SPXU, TLT, and only buys SPXL on extreme oversold bounces.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample upside: ~52% annualized vs SPY ~21%; Calmar ~1.17. Bigger drawdowns (~45%), but potential for far stronger long-run growth in uptrends with built-in hedges vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.860.830.060.25
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
620.2%14.76%-0.15%0.4%0.91
16,809,892.38%131.4%-1.63%-2.25%1.78
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,680,999,237.56
Regulatory Fees
$2,088,132.53
Total Slippage
$15,010,615.64
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 14, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 15%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged s&p 500, risk-on/risk-off, trend + mean reversion, volatility hedging, treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toSPXL. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 47.57%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 44.82%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.