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OG v1.0 3x SPY for the long run - from TQQQ For The Long Term Minimal | Dereck Nielsen, Pietros Maneos & Raekon v1.4 | 167.3%/34.4% DD from 28 Oct 2011
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A highly aggressive, long-run strategy aiming for roughly 3x SPY by switching between SPXL, SPXU, UVXY, and TLT based on short-term momentum and price signals, with no fixed rebalancing schedule and a single-asset-at-a-time allocation. It emphasizes leverage, momentum, and hedging to pursue upside while attempting to cap drawdowns.
NutHow it works
Plain-language description: - Goal: aim for about 3x SPY over the long run using SPXL, while using hedges to limit big losses. - How it decides what to hold: it uses a sequence of rule checks based on momentum and price signals. - Key signals: short-term RSI (10-day) on proxied assets (notably TQQQ and SPXL), recent price behavior relative to moving averages, and very short-term returns (e.g., 5-day SPY return). - Assets it may pick: SPXL (3x long S&P 500), SPXU (3x inverse S&P 500), UVXY (volatility-related ETF), TLT (long-dated Treasuries), SPY (baseline for signals). Sometimes a Nasdaq-group note appears in the logic, but the practical result is a single asset chosen at a time. - How it rebalances: no fixed schedule; reallocation happens when a rule is triggered within the nested decision tests (rebalance-corridor-width exists in the settings but is effectively not used for regular rebalancing). - Risk and leverage: the strategy uses leverage (3x) which amplifies gains and losses; volatility hedges (UVXY) and bonds (TLT) are used to mitigate drawdowns in stressed markets. The approach is best understood as a tactical, momentum-driven, single-asset-at-a-time tilt rather than a diversified long-only or regularly rebalanced portfolio.
CheckmarkValue prop
Targeting far higher upside than SPY with 3x SPXL and hedges (UVXY/SPXU/TLT). OOS: ~52% annualized vs ~21% SPY; solid risk-adjusted metrics (Calmar ~1.16, Sharpe ~1.17). Higher upside, accept larger drawdowns.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 14, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 15%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity, momentum-based, hedging, tactical allocation, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toSPXL. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 43.66%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 44.82%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.