OG V0.1 | Minimal BB | Simple Beta Baller Signal
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rule-based tactical strategy that alternates between volatility hedges (to thrive in market jitters) and levered tech/semiconductor bets (when conditions look oversold and bonds support risk), using short-term momentum signals to pick a single asset at a time. High risk, potentially big gains, simple beta-focused exposures.
- The strategy rebalances every trading day and aims to hold only one asset at a time to keep things simple and risk-controlled.
- It looks at a market momentum signal on the broad market (SPY, the S&P 500 proxy). If SPY looks very overbought (a high momentum reading, roughly RSI above 75 on short windows), it switches to a volatility hedge, buying one of two volatility ETFs (UVXY or VIXY). The exact asset chosen is the one with the strongest recent momentum among the volatility options, with a weight that emphasizes the volatility hedge and minimizes other exposure.
- If SPY looks very oversold (a very low momentum reading on the same short windows) and the bond market signals align (e.g., bond-related indicators suggest it’s reasonable to take risk), the strategy looks to buy levered equity bets in semiconductors and/or technology (SOXL or TECL). It does this by first considering short-biased or bear plays (SOXS or SQQQ) if the oversold condition is extreme, and then selects the strongest long opportunity (SOXL or TECL) based on momentum ranking.
- Within each decision path, the system uses a ranking step: assets within the chosen group are filtered and sorted by momentum (RSI over different day windows) and the top candidate is selected (one asset, with a weight that effectively emphasizes cash). The pairing of bottom-filtered assets and top RSI-ranked assets aims to pick the single best idea for that moment.
- Tickers involved include: UVXY, VIXY (volatility hedges); SOXL, SOXS (semiconductor levered long/short); SQQQ (QQQ bear); TECL (technology levered long). Bonds are considered via tickers like BIL, SHY, IEF (and sometimes HIBL in signals) to gauge the bond market context for the oversold/long-side decisions.
- The intent is to capture big moves (especially with levered ETFs) while avoiding broad diversification; risk controls rely on cash weighting and the limit of one position at a time. The system notes that drawdowns can be larger in some iterations but that long-run upside can be meaningful if volatility regimes and momentum align.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets big upside via levered tech/semis and volatility hedges, delivering ~106% annualized return vs SPY's ~22%, with Sharpe ~1.25 and Calmar ~1.41. Note potential large drawdowns in volatile regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | 1.96 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137.1% | 14.7% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.78 | |
| 77,587.11% | 187.9% | 24.08% | 33.44% | 1.56 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,768,710.63Regulatory Fees
$15,709.01
Total Slippage
$105,606.27
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 8, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, volatility hedges, momentum, tactical beta, sector bets
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks