OG TQQQ For The Long Term Minimal | Dereck Nielsen, Pietros Maneos & Raekon v1.4 | 258.9%/42.2%DD from 28 Oct 2011
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily rules toggle among TQQQ (3x Nasdaq), SQQQ (−3x), UVXY (volatility), and TLT (Treasuries). A long‑trend filter plus “hot/cold” signals buys dips, fades extremes, and parks in bonds/vol when risk rises.
Tickers: TQQQ=3x Nasdaq; SQQQ=−3x Nasdaq; UVXY=VIX/vol; SPY=S&P500; QQQ=Nasdaq‑100; TLT=long Treasuries. RSI = how hot/cold a move is (0–100; >80 hot, <30 washed out).
Regime: SPY above 200‑day avg = risk‑on; else risk‑off.
Risk‑on: mostly TQQQ; if too hot, use UVXY; after 5‑day drops >6% buy TQQQ unless a sharp bounce flips to SQQQ; if very choppy, use TLT.
Risk‑off: buy deep washes in TQQQ; else use UVXY in stress, or pick SQQQ vs TLT by momentum.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.43 vs SPY 1.32; annualized ~95% vs ~22%; Calmar ~1.87. Drawdowns can reach ~50%, but Nasdaq-led rallies offer outsized upside with hedges, delivering higher risk-adjusted returns than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | 1.04 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620.2% | 14.76% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 566,837,477.8% | 195.74% | 1% | -9.32% | 2.02 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$56,683,757,779.63Regulatory Fees
$37,549,981.05
Total Slippage
$270,099,658.00
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 30, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs,tactical asset allocation,trend-following,mean-reversion,volatility hedging,nasdaq-focused,daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type