OG TQQQ For The Long Term Minimal | Dereck Nielsen, Pietros Maneos & Raekon v1.4 | 258.9%/42.2%DD from 28 Oct 2011
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Ride Nasdaq‑100 uptrends with 3x leverage (TQQQ), but switch to SQQQ, UVXY, or TLT when markets overheat, drop fast, or turn volatile. Uses a long‑term trend line and a simple 0‑100 “hot/cold” gauge to time moves.
Each day it checks the market trend (SPY vs its 200‑day average). In uptrends, it mostly holds TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100). If things look too “hot” (RSI, a 0‑100 heat gauge) or after sharp drops, it may switch to SQQQ (3x inverse Nasdaq), briefly hold UVXY (rises with fear), or hide in TLT (long U.S. Treasuries). In downtrends, it stays defensive, buying TQQQ only on extreme selloffs.
Out-of-sample edge: ~95% annualized return vs S&P ~21.7%; Sharpe ~1.43 vs 1.32; Calmar ~1.87. Higher upside with Nasdaq-100 leverage and hedges, but larger drawdowns (~50% vs ~19%). A disciplined, rule-based rotation.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | 1.04 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 543,153,456.44% | 194.07% | -0.39% | -2.36% | 2.01 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$54,315,355,643.99Regulatory Fees
$37,549,981.05
Total Slippage
$270,099,658.00
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 30, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, nasdaq-100, trend filter, mean reversion, volatility hedge, inverse etfs, treasuries, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total