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OG TQQQ For The Long Term Minimal | Dereck Nielsen, Pietros Maneos & Raekon v1.4 | 258.9%/42.2%DD from 28 Oct 2011
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A daily-rebalanced, cash-equal, Nasdaq-tilted strategy using TQQQ as core long exposure, with volatility hedges (UVXY, SQQQ) and diversification (SPXL, SPY, QQQ, TLT). It relies on RSI, moving-average trend checks, and a “buy the dips” sub-rule to manage risk and pursue Nasdaq upside.
NutHow it works
- Core exposure: Primarily uses TQQQ (Nasdaq 100 leveraged 3x) as the main long-position in the basket. - Hedging and diversifiers: Includes UVXY (volatility), SQQQ (inverted Nasdaq), SPXL (S&P 500 3x long), SPY (S&P 500 ETF), QQQ (Nasdaq ETF), and TLT (long-dated Treasuries) as potential holdings depending on signals. - Signals and triggers: Daily evaluation uses momentum and trend indicators. A key signal is RSI (a momentum measure) over short windows (e.g., 10 days) on assets like TQQQ and UVXY to gauge strength or risk. Thresholds (for example around 79–80) help decide when hedges should be favored over Nasdaq-long exposure. - Trend filter: A 200-day moving-average test (roughly, is SPY above its 200-day average?) helps determine whether the long Nasdaq tilt is in a longer-term uptrend. If conditions favor trend, Nasdaq-long assets are favored; if not, hedges or diversification rise in prominence. - Buy-the-dips logic: A sub-strategy looks for Nasdaq dip conditions (e.g., short-term cumulative returns like a drop below -6% over 5 days) and may switch to hedging assets while waiting for signals to re-enter long Nasdaq exposure. This is implemented via a separate path that can trigger a hedge-first stance or a selective re-entry into TQQQ after confirmation signals. - Top-hold filtering: At times, the strategy selects a single asset to emphasize hedging or exposure using a top-filter logic (top asset by RSI over a 10-day window), effectively choosing the most favorable hedge candidate when multiple options exist. - Weighting and rebalancing: The system aims for cash-equal weighting across the selected assets and rebalances daily, which keeps the portfolio relatively simple in terms of number of assets and trading activity. - Goals and risks: The objective is strong long-run Nasdaq gains via a leveraged vehicle, with risk mitigation through volatility hedges and diversification. However, leveraged ETFs are inherently volatile and susceptible to rapid drawdowns, especially during market dislocations; the rules are designed to mitigate but not eliminate risk. - Tax/daily-use note: The version history mentions reducing asset count and trading days for tax-advantaged or more efficient results, implying a practical simplification over earlier iterations.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample, this Nasdaq-tilted strategy offers higher risk-adjusted gains vs the S&P 500: Sharpe ~1.43 vs 1.32, Calmar ~1.87, and higher annualized return, with hedges and trend signals. Note: larger drawdowns in crises.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 30, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, nasdaq-focused, rule-based, volatility hedging, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toTQQQ. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 80.37%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 50.76%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.