OG Simple 20d BND vs 60d SH | SPXL & VXX edition (no k1) | shared
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules‑based swing strategy that buys 3x stock/tech after sell‑offs, hedges with volatility or holds cash when markets look overheated, and otherwise uses a simple bond‑vs‑short‑stock check plus 200/20‑day trends to choose offense (SPXL/TECL) or defense (BIL/SH/VXX).
It rotates among: SPXL/TECL (3x bull S&P/tech), SPY (plain S&P), SH (short S&P), VXX (volatility), and BIL (cash‑like T‑bills). It uses RSI (a 0–100 “heat” gauge): if QQQ or SPY look very hot, split to VXX+cash; if very cold, buy the dip with SPXL or TECL. If TQQQ just surged in a day, briefly step aside. Otherwise a trend filter (bonds vs shorting stocks + 200/20‑day MAs) picks SPXL (offense) or BIL/SH (defense).
Out-of-sample annualized return: 37.44% vs SPY 15.95%; max drawdown: 39.74% vs 18.76%; Calmar ~0.94. Higher upside potential with tactical hedges and risk controls vs a plain SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | 1.45 | 0.37 | 0.61 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 189.05% | 13.77% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.76 | |
| 217,701.5% | 154.56% | 27.61% | 28.13% | 2.24 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,780,149.54Regulatory Fees
$39,500.43
Total Slippage
$274,757.19
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical-allocation, momentum, mean-reversion, trend-following, leveraged-etfs, volatility-hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VXX
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN
Stocks