OG Simple 20d BND vs 60d SH | SPXL & VXX edition (no k1) | shared
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based swing/trend strategy for US stocks: use leveraged bulls (SPXL/TECL) in favorable regimes, hide in T‑bills (BIL) or volatility (VXX) when overheated/weak, and rely on a bond‑vs‑inverse signal and trend filters to decide risk-on vs cash.
It switches between: SPXL/TECL (3x bull stock/tech) when trends or deep dips favor stocks; SPY when medium‑term strength is solid; BIL (T‑bills) when weak; and 50/50 VXX (volatility) + BIL when markets look overheated or after a big pop. A bond‑vs‑inverse check (BND RSI vs SH RSI) plus 200/20‑day trend filters gates risk‑on vs cash/SH.
Out-of-sample edge: 37.44% annualized return vs SPY 15.95%, Calmar ~0.94 and Sharpe ~0.87 vs SPY ~0.92; higher drawdowns (~39.74%) but levered regimes provide amplified upside with built-in hedges.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | 1.45 | 0.37 | 0.61 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178.11% | 13.45% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.75 | |
| 176,462.81% | 151.59% | 3.97% | -0.11% | 2.22 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$17,656,281.25Regulatory Fees
$33,968.06
Total Slippage
$235,624.80
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, mean-reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, rules-based
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VXX
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN
Stocks