OG Simple 20d BND vs 60d SH | SPXL & VXX edition (no k1) | shared
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based, tactical system that mixes leveraged equity bets with hedges and bonds, guided by trend (price vs long-term averages), momentum (RSI/momentum in SPXL/TQQQ/SH), and volatility signals (VXX) to time exposures and protect capital.
In plain terms: the strategy watches several signals to decide how to invest. It looks for uptrends (is the market price above a long-term average?), momentum (are the leveraged bets climbing or fading?), and volatility (is fear rising, as indicated by VXX-related signals?). If trends look healthy and momentum is positive, it tilts toward leveraged stock bets like SPXL, TQQQ, and TECL. If signals hint at danger, it shifts toward hedges (SH, VXX) and safer assets (BIL, BND) to reduce risk. A key part of the logic compares bonds versus bear-market exposure over two time windows (20 days for BND versus 60 days for SH) to decide whether to lean more into bonds or more into stock/hedge positions. There are specific stop-and-check rules (e.g., a short-term momentum check on TQQQ, or a SPY price-vs-200-day moving-average check) that can prompt protective moves. Cash allocations are used to balance risk (the system often uses equal or cash-like steps for diversification). The overall flow is: measure trend and momentum signals → choose exposure bands (leveraged equities vs hedges vs bonds/cash) → apply small rebalancing tolerances → adjust gradually rather than rebalance aggressively. The design implies a modular, repeatable framework intended to adapt to changing market regimes rather than lock into a single static allocation.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets roughly 37% annualized returns with solid risk-adjustment (Calmar ~0.94, Sharpe ~0.87) versus SPY’s ~16%, using dynamic leverage, hedges, and bonds to pursue higher upside while balancing risk (note larger downturns in bear markets).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | 1.45 | 0.37 | 0.61 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172.29% | 13.1% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.73 | |
| 170,577.05% | 149.53% | -2.94% | 2.92% | 2.2 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$17,067,704.80Regulatory Fees
$36,332.40
Total Slippage
$252,333.86
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Rules-based, tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VXX
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN
Stocks