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OG Simple 20d BND vs 60d SH | SPXL & VXX edition (no k1) | shared
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About

A rules-based switcher among cash, S&P 500 (and 3×), tech (3×), short S&P, and a volatility hedge. It buys dips, trims euphoria, and uses bond‑vs‑bear and trend checks to decide when to be risk‑on or in cash.
NutHow it works
It rotates between a few funds based on simple signals. - BIL = T‑bills (cash). SPY = S&P 500. SPXL = 3× S&P. TECL = 3× tech. SH = short S&P. VXX = volatility hedge. - Uses “hot/cold” scores (RSI: 0–100 speed-of-move gauge). Very hot (>80) ⇒ VXX+BIL; very cold (<30/31) ⇒ SPXL/TECL. - Trend check: above 200‑day avg ⇒ own SPY/SPXL. - Safety check: if bonds (BND) look stronger than a bear fund (SH), stay risk‑on; else sit in BIL. Big one‑day pops/drops in TQQQ can trigger brief defense.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample annualized return ~41% vs 15% for the S&P, with a higher Sharpe (~0.90 vs ~0.86) and Calmar ~1.03. Combines hedges, cash, and strategic leverage to boost returns while keeping risk in check; drawdowns can approach 40%.
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, mean reversion, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, momentum
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type