Offseason - Shared
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
An aggressive, rules-based portfolio that mostly owns U.S. stocks and tech, adds some international stocks and managed futures, and can shift into cash, defensive stocks, rebound trades, or even a market hedge when conditions change.
This strategy is mostly a stock portfolio, but it changes its mix based on market conditions.
It mainly holds: broad U.S. stocks (VTI), U.S. tech stocks (VGT), international stocks (VXUS), and a small slice of managed-futures funds (CTA, KMLM).
It checks whether markets look healthy, panicky, overheated, or washed out. If conditions are calm and trends are up, it stays in stocks. If fear spikes, it can move to Treasury-bill cash (BIL). If markets look weak, it may shift to defensive consumer-staples stocks (VDC). If big tech has fallen very fast, it may buy QLD, an extra-aggressive bet on a rebound. If big tech looks too hot, it may use SH, which rises when the S&P 500 falls.
Out-of-sample edge: ~24.5% annualized return vs ~21.4% for the S&P, drawdown ~17.0% vs ~18.8%, Calmar ~1.44 and Sharpe ~1.39. A tactical, risk-managed mix targets higher growth with lower risk than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07 | 0.88 | 0.83 | 0.91 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.28% | 15.62% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.94 | |
| 152.52% | 22.06% | -5.2% | -1.13% | 1.3 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$25,251.95Regulatory Fees
$16.53
Total Slippage
$117.92
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 10, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, mean reversion, risk management, global equities, technology, managed futures
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
VDC
Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF
Stocks
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
Stocks