Ob Os Staple my Bonds V0.1 (33,31,2007)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Contrarian swing approach: when the Nasdaq looks washed out, go 2x long; when it looks stretched up, go 2x short. Otherwise, hide in a defensive choice between consumer‑staples stocks or bonds—the one that’s more beaten down. Single position at a time.
It watches QQQ (Nasdaq‑100). RSI(10) is a 0–100 “heat” gauge of recent moves: ≤30 = very down; ≥80 = very up.
• If very down: buy QLD (2x long Nasdaq).
• If very up: buy QID (2x short Nasdaq).
• Otherwise: go defensive—pick the one with lower RSI between XLP (consumer‑staples stocks) and VBF (investment‑grade bond fund). 100% in the chosen fund until the signal changes.
RSI-driven contrarian strategy shifts between 2x Nasdaq bets (QLD/QID) and defensive picks (XLP/VBF) with a single position. In out-of-sample testing it delivers ~22% annualized return with Calmar 1.45 and ~15% max drawdown—offering risk-adjusted diversification and a complementary sleeve to the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 0.62 | 0.31 | 0.56 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 693.8% | 11.14% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.64 | |
| 24,619.67% | 32.45% | 4.16% | 4.74% | 1.4 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,471,966.69Regulatory Fees
$16,098.06
Total Slippage
$95,984.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 21, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, mean‑reversion, rsi, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, nasdaq‑100 focus, defensive rotation