OB OS Staple Bonds Variable Leverage 5/2/25
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily market-timing strategy that buys sharp stock dips aggressively, gets defensive when markets look overheated, and otherwise parks in staples or bonds.
Each day, the strategy checks whether big U.S. stock indexes have fallen a lot or risen too far, too fast, over the last 10 days.
If tech stocks (QQQ) look beaten down, it buys QQQ and TQQQ. If they look overheated, it splits money between very short-term Treasury bills (BIL) and UVXY, a fund that tends to jump when markets panic.
If tech is neutral, it does the same test on the broader U.S. market (SPY). If nothing looks extreme, it hides in either consumer staples (XLP) or bonds (VBF), choosing the one that has been weaker lately.
Balanced, risk-aware growth: out-of-sample return ~20.9% vs SPY 23.5%, but max drawdown 7.5% vs 8.9% and Calmar ~2.79. Low beta (~0.26) cuts market risk. Daily tactical rotations and hedges seek gains with better downside protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | 0.58 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 786.38% | 15.6% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.95 | |
| 30,888.65% | 46.38% | 13.3% | 11.58% | 1.81 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,098,864.62Regulatory Fees
$14,166.59
Total Slippage
$110,472.23
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 3, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, rsi, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, defensive rotation, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VBF
INVESCO BOND FUND
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks