OB OS Staple Bonds Variable Leverage 5/2/25
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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About
Buys dips with leverage in QQQ or SPY when oversold; hedges with T-Bills and a volatility spike fund when overheated; otherwise holds Consumer Staples or bonds that look beaten-up. Checks and rebalances daily.
RSI is a 0–100 “speedometer” of recent price moves: low=washed-out, high=hot. Each day: 1) If tech-heavy QQQ is washed out (RSI<=30), hold 50% QQQ + 50% 3x-QQQ (TQQQ) ≈ 2x tech. 2) Else if QQQ is hot (RSI>=80), split T-Bills (BIL) + a crash-hedge that spikes when markets fall (UVXY). 3) Else if the S&P 500 (SPY) is washed out, hold 50% SPY + 50% 3x-SPY (UPRO). 4) Else if SPY is hot, hold BIL + UVXY. 5) Otherwise, own the weaker of Consumer Staples (XLP) or a bond fund (VBF). Rebalances daily.
RSI‑driven, rule‑based strategy that times dips (QQQ/UPRO) and hedges crashes with BIL/UVXY, plus defensive bets. Out‑of‑sample Calmar ~1.23 with controlled drawdowns, offering meaningful downside protection and steadier risk‑adjusted growth vs. the S&P 500 in volatility.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.32 | 0.58 | 0.19 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 690.81% | 15.5% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.94 | |
| 25,448.61% | 47.15% | 5.03% | 9.24% | 1.82 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,554,860.69Regulatory Fees
$14,398.15
Total Slippage
$89,386.04
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 3, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, mean-reversion, rsi, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, us equities, bonds, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VBF
INVESCO BOND FUND
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks