NVDA vs QQQ + KMLM WM 74 mods
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
All-in, rules-based switch between cash-like T-bills, Nvidia stock, and 2x Nvidia. Buys dips when NVDA lags QQQ, rides trends when it leads, and uses a simple strength score (RSI vs KMLM) to choose leverage or stay safe.
Tickers:
- NVDA: Nvidia stock
- NVDX: 2x daily Nvidia ETF
- QQQ: Nasdaq-100 ETF (big tech), benchmark
- BIL: T-bill ETF (cash-like)
- KMLM: managed-futures ETF used only as a check
RSI: a 0–100 score of recent up vs down days; higher = stronger.
Rules:
- If NVDA trails QQQ over ~20d and ~5d, buy the dip: NVDA or NVDX if NVDA’s RSI > KMLM’s; else BIL.
- If NVDA beats QQQ over ~20d and last 2–3d, ride with NVDX if NVDA’s RSI > KMLM’s; else BIL.
Out-of-sample edge: ~29% annualized return vs SPY ~17%, Sharpe ~0.71, Calmar ~0.84. A rules-based NVDA/QQQ strategy that shifts to cash on uncertainty—higher upside, with larger drawdowns than SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | 1.95 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.85% | 22.29% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.36 | |
| 1,197.01% | 191.82% | 8.08% | 2.5% | 2.11 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$129,700.84Regulatory Fees
$529.07
Total Slippage
$3,115.74
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 10, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical nvidia, momentum + mean reversion, qqq benchmark, leveraged etf, cash filter
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total