NVDA vs QQQ + KMLM WM 74 mods
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A tactical Nvidia strategy that flips between cash (BIL), NVDA, or 2× NVDA (NVDX). It buys dips vs QQQ or rides strength, and only uses leverage when NVDA’s short‑term momentum tops a broad trend gauge (KMLM).
It toggles between BIL (T‑bills), NVDA (Nvidia), or NVDX (2× Nvidia). First, it checks if NVDA is lagging or leading QQQ (a big‑tech index) over ~1 month. If lagging, it buys dips when NVDA also lagged 5 days (NVDA or NVDX if NVDA’s RSI beats KMLM—a trend ETF). If leading, it rides the trend only if NVDA beat QQQ over 2–3 days; then uses NVDX if its RSI beats KMLM, else stays in BIL.
Out-of-sample: ~29% annualized return vs S&P ~17%, achieved by tactical NVDA exposure (unlevered or 2x) with cash hedges. Captures tech rallies while using strict risk controls to switch to BIL when signals weaken.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | 1.97 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64.38% | 23.43% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 1.42 | |
| 1,195.89% | 195.94% | 10.94% | -3.22% | 2.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$129,588.91Regulatory Fees
$525.22
Total Slippage
$3,089.79
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 10, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical nvda timing, momentum & mean reversion, leverage (2x), risk-on/risk-off, cash filter
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total