NVDA vs QQQ + KMLM WM 74 mods
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
A tactical Nvidia strategy that flips between cash (BIL), NVDA, or 2× NVDA (NVDX). It buys dips vs QQQ or rides strength, and only uses leverage when NVDA’s short‑term momentum tops a broad trend gauge (KMLM).
It toggles between BIL (T‑bills), NVDA (Nvidia), or NVDX (2× Nvidia). First, it checks if NVDA is lagging or leading QQQ (a big‑tech index) over ~1 month. If lagging, it buys dips when NVDA also lagged 5 days (NVDA or NVDX if NVDA’s RSI beats KMLM—a trend ETF). If leading, it rides the trend only if NVDA beat QQQ over 2–3 days; then uses NVDX if its RSI beats KMLM, else stays in BIL.
Out-of-sample edge: ~29% annualized return vs ~17% for the S&P, with Calmar ~0.84. Tactical NVDA exposure + cash hedging aims for big upside while controlling risk—though drawdowns can be ~35% and beta ~2 vs the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | 1.97 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64.38% | 23.43% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 1.42 | |
| 1,195.89% | 195.94% | 10.94% | -3.22% | 2.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$129,588.91Regulatory Fees
$525.22
Total Slippage
$3,089.79
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 10, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical nvda timing, momentum & mean reversion, leverage (2x), risk-on/risk-off, cash filter
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total