NVDA vs QQQ + KMLM (with shorting)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Rules-based NVIDIA switcher. If NVDA lags QQQ across 1–3 days, buy NVDA (use NVDX if NVDA’s short-term strength, via RSI, beats KMLM). If NVDA leads across 1–3 days, hold NVDX only when that strength test passes; otherwise park in T‑bills (BIL).
Each day it asks whether NVDA (NVIDIA) beat QQQ (Nasdaq‑100 ETF) over 1, 2, and 3 days.
If NVDA trailed on all three, it bets on a bounce: buy NVDA, or use NVDX (2× NVDA ETF) if NVDA’s RSI—a 0–100 recent‑momentum score—is higher than KMLM’s (a managed‑futures trend ETF).
If NVDA led on all three, ride with NVDX only if that RSI test passes; otherwise sit in BIL (1–3mo T‑Bills). If any test fails, hold BIL.
Out-of-sample edge: 17.77% annualized return vs 17.17% S&P, driven by high-beta NVDA momentum and regime-switching. Capture rallies with disciplined risk controls; note higher drawdowns (~40%) but a risk-managed growth opportunity.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | 2.05 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.85% | 22.29% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.36 | |
| 1,201.13% | 192.2% | 6.23% | -7.57% | 2.06 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$130,113.15Regulatory Fees
$1,231.67
Total Slippage
$7,308.85
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 26, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, nvda vs qqq, risk-on/risk-off, tech/semiconductors, cash/t-bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total