NOVA | V1a TQQQ or not | + Dash of SQQQ w/ V1a Simple Portfolio (UVXY)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A momentum-driven, multi-asset rotation between leveraged equity bets and volatility/defensive hedges, with cash/bond safety layers. It cycles into TQQQ/SPXL/SOXL/UPRO or similar when signals look favorable, and into UVXY/SVXY/VIXM or cash/bonds when risk rises. It uses RSI and other momentum/volatility filters across multiple lookbacks to decide which bucket to favor, aiming for aggressive growth in strong markets while protecting capital in choppier times.
- The strategy trades a mix of leveraged stock ETFs (examples include TQQQ for tech, SOXL for semiconductors, TECL for tech, SPXL/UPRO for broad market, and UDOW for Dow exposure) and volatility/hedge instruments (UVXY, SVXY, VIXM, SQQQ).
- It also uses bonds/cash ballast (BIL, SHV, TMF, IEF, TL T, BND) to provide safety when signals deteriorate.
- Signals are built around momentum and risk indicators across multiple lookback windows (roughly 10, 21, 45, and 126 days). A common trigger is RSI-based momentum: if an asset’s RSI is very high or low relative to a reference asset, the system shifts to a different bucket (e.g., from a risk-on levered position to a hedge or cash).
- In calm/positive momentum regimes, the system tends to allocate to core leveraged long bets to maximize upside. When momentum fades or volatility climbs, it pivots toward hedges (UVXY, VIX-related funds, or SQQQ/VIXM) and/or cash/bonds to protect capital.
- Some blocks explicitly favor hedges with top-N volatility-related assets filtered by volatility/return metrics, while others switch to a “Safety Town” set of allocations (treasuries and short bonds) when risk metrics exceed thresholds.
- The overall aim is to maintain exposure to growth via leverage when markets look strong, while containing risk with hedges and safer assets when conditions worsen. This requires tolerance for higher complexity and higher potential drawdowns in exchange for bigger upside in favorable periods.
Stronger upside than the S&P 500 through tactical rotation into leveraged growth and hedges. Out-of-sample annualized return ~59%, Sharpe ~1.22, Calmar ~1.75 vs SPY ~23% return. Higher drawdowns (~34%) possible; hedges/bonds help manage risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | 0.63 | 0.05 | 0.22 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509.82% | 13.88% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.86 | |
| 292,819,199.12% | 191.61% | -5.25% | 2.3% | 2.49 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$29,281,929,911.55Regulatory Fees
$90,710,870.09
Total Slippage
$652,449,065.56
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 6, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leverage etfs, volatility hedges, tactical asset allocation, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 34 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks