NOVA | V1a TECL/BITX/CONL or not - Replace UVXY w/ SOXS
Today’s Change (Mar 8, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A fast, daily strategy using leveraged ETFs. Half trades mean‑reversion around tech (SOXS, UVXY, SOXL, BITX, CONL). The other half owns 2x Coinbase (CONL) only when trend and bond‑vs‑stock signals are favorable; otherwise it parks in T‑Bills (BIL).
Daily rebalance. Split 50/50.
Sleeve A: TQQQ acts as a thermometer. If it’s “too hot” (RSI = hot/cold gauge) short semis (SOXS). After sharp falls, buy volatility (UVXY) or a rebound via SOXL + 2x Bitcoin (BITX) + 2x Coinbase (CONL). If stress (big recent drops) is high, hold T‑Bills (BIL).
Sleeve B: Hold 2x Coinbase (CONL) only when COIN > its 25‑day average and bond momentum beats stock momentum; otherwise BIL.
Out-of-sample results show higher risk and negative returns (-25.7% vs +17% for SPY) with deep drawdowns (~69%). Not a core S&P substitute; may serve as a diversification/tail-risk hedge for sophisticated portfolios.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.73 | 2.34 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.17% | 18.92% | -2.64% | -1.35% | 1.21 | |
| 506.87% | 95.85% | 30.31% | 37.78% | 1.14 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$60,686.88Regulatory Fees
$100.47
Total Slippage
$616.47
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 5, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, daily rebalanced, leveraged etfs, mean reversion, momentum filters, semiconductors, crypto, volatility, risk-off to cash
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITX
2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
CONL
GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks