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NOVA | SPDR Sectors | Candidate: Quality Pop Bots - 5% threshold edition
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About

A tactical SPDR sector strategy. If the market looks overheated, shift to T‑bills and a volatility hedge (UVXY). Otherwise, buy oversold or trending sectors confirmed by bond signals, hold up to 6 equally, and rebalance only when weights drift >5%.
NutHow it works
RSI: a 0–100 gauge of recent buying vs selling (<30 sold off, >70 hot). 1) If the S&P 500 looks hot (10‑day RSI of SPXL, a 3× S&P fund, >75), hold 50% UVXY (volatility hedge) and 50% BIL (T‑bills). 2) Else scan the 11 SPDR sector ETFs (e.g., XLK=tech, XLE=energy, XLF=banks). Buy a sector if RSI<30 or if it’s trending (RSI60>50) with supportive bond signals (using BND/IEF/TLT). Hold up to 6 with the best recent drawdown, equal‑weight. Rebalance when drift >5%.
CheckmarkValue prop
Defensive sector-rotation strategy: out-of-sample return ~8.1% with max drawdown ~12% vs SPY ~19%, plus lower volatility and a volatility/T-bill hedge when markets overheat. A stabilizing core that complements the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
Alpha
Beta
R2
R
0.14
0.4
0.31
0.56
Performance Metrics
Cumulative Return
Annualized Return
Trailing 1M Return
Trailing 3M Return
Sharpe Ratio
162.9%
14.55%
3.07%
6.63%
0.78
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$38,150.87
Regulatory Fees
$242.25
Total Slippage
$1,537.29
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical sector rotation, rsi, momentum, mean reversion, bond filter, volatility hedge, risk management, spdr sectors
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type