NOVA | R2K | Pareto's Portfolio (2024 Publication Edition)
Today’s Change (Apr 12, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based playbook: panic → move to T‑bills; calm/trending rates → own the strongest large- and small-cap stocks; otherwise rotate into the strongest commodity and bond funds. Equal-weighted, momentum-driven, with a volatility “panic” brake.
Every day, it asks three questions:
1) Is fear spiking? It checks a “fear fund” (VIXY). If its speedometer (RSI) is >75—an unusually sharp jump—it parks 100% in cash‑like T‑bills (BIL).
2) If not, have bonds beaten cash over ~3 months (BND > BIL over 60 days)? If yes, go risk‑on: split evenly across leaders from big‑stock baskets (S&P 500, Nasdaq‑100, Dow) and winning small caps; in each list, buy the 3 strongest 1‑month trends.
3) If bonds haven’t beaten cash, go defensive: 50% into the 2 strongest commodity funds, 50% into the 3 strongest bond funds. Rebalances daily, so holdings can change often.
Out-of-sample, this strategy beats the S&P 500 on risk-adjusted return: Sharpe ~5.9 vs ~1.1, much higher annualized return, and smaller drawdowns, aided by a panic-cash filter and regime-switching momentum.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 0.47 | 0.12 | 0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.39% | 12.27% | 0.61% | -1.99% | 0.75 | |
| 116.26% | 21.11% | 1.98% | -12.02% | 0.92 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,625.88Regulatory Fees
$167.87
Total Slippage
$953.51
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 15, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, momentum, trend-following, tactical asset allocation, multi-asset, volatility filter, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 91 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
ACMR
ACM Research, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AGYS
Agilysys, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMGN
Amgen Inc
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
Stocks
APPF
AppFolio, Inc. Class A
Stocks